Mike Kueber's Blog

November 10, 2011

Another debate; another Perry gaffe

Filed under: Issues,People,Politics — Mike Kueber @ 2:41 pm
Tags: , , ,

For some reason, last night’s presidential debate on CNBC slid under my radar and I missed it.  My first notice of the debate was a slew of media reports headlined with Perry’s “Oops” moment.    According to most of those reports, the gaffe confirmed Perry as a laughingstock who was singularly unqualified to be considered for the office of the Presidency.

After watching videos of the gaffe, I concluded that the pundits were being exceedingly harsh on Perry.  His gaffe consisted of being able to recall only two of the three federal departments that he wanted to eliminate – the Commerce and Education Departments.  Despite casting about for an awkward minute or so, Perry couldn’t remember the Energy Department.

The important thing is that the videos revealed Perry handling his brain freeze with relatively good humor.  I think most Americans put more stock in how a person deals with the brain freeze than in the fact that he had one.

So, with the Perry’s brain freeze and Cain’s women, how does the Republican race look this morning?  According to Intrade.com:

  • Romney 71%
  • Gingrich 9.6%
  • Cain 5.7%
  • Paul 5.3%
  • Perry 4%
  • Huntsman 3%
  • Bachmann 1%

An interesting quality of Intrade.com is that it acts like the stock market.  The stock market doesn’t reflect the current state of the economy.  Rather, it reflects the best judgment of what the economy will be like in the future.  Similarly, the Intrade.com numbers don’t reflect the current candidate polling, but instead suggest what those polling numbers will look like in the future.  It has obviously built in a steep decline for Cain and Perry.  Gingrich is certainly in position to be the final anti-Romney candidate, and I suspect Mitt Romney is happy to see that.

As a pundit noted yesterday, Cain and Perry had the charisma to seriously challenge Romney.  Gingrich does not.


  1. I think that the “critics” are being a little harsh here. It wasn’t pretty to watch, but that kind of “senior moment” could happen to any of us…

    I, for example, am perfectly prepared to lead the free world, and sometimes I forget my wife’s name.

    Comment by Anonymous — November 10, 2011 @ 6:47 pm | Reply

  2. Enjoyed the article, Mike 🙂

    Comment by rebecca — November 10, 2011 @ 7:43 pm | Reply

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